Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 14.983302 17.183493 19.612778 22.496984 25.831996 29.571913 34.090726
2025-10-19 12.336871 15.267318 18.769704 23.276007 28.937930 35.839237 44.924639
2025-10-26 10.225400 13.350009 17.299182 22.679257 29.853285 39.139474 52.151390
2025-11-02 8.834513 12.048135 16.299587 22.370005 30.872179 42.440894 59.518766
2025-11-09 7.789019 11.028475 15.486261 22.115788 31.806843 45.581757 66.870705
2025-11-16 6.937487 10.154866 14.739830 21.810617 32.550202 48.426546 74.001051
2025-11-23 6.199355 9.350366 13.984746 21.370808 32.986827 50.785104 80.565462
2025-11-30 5.916858 9.185701 14.142149 22.297419 35.564862 56.616473 93.175778
2025-12-07 5.536661 8.825133 13.952304 22.639041 37.218671 61.111453 104.062154
2025-12-14 5.123528 8.367864 13.558291 22.594200 38.206167 64.573173 113.528963
2025-12-21 4.728864 7.901114 13.100201 22.384928 38.871013 67.517876 122.361635
2025-12-28 4.564452 7.802054 13.238099 23.197864 41.375857 73.883510 138.081682
2026-01-04 4.365872 7.631058 13.245084 23.793603 43.576130 79.973824 154.105910
2026-01-11 4.219095 7.537031 13.375716 24.621056 46.281119 87.266735 173.329887
2026-01-18 3.870301 7.047666 12.754354 23.987911 46.142330 89.118825 181.845711
2026-01-25 3.599019 6.677311 12.317471 23.659821 46.553273 92.063114 192.921559
2026-02-01 3.361173 6.349417 11.931046 23.390130 47.044857 95.199374 204.741979
2026-02-08 3.138386 6.031816 11.537119 23.066395 47.386999 98.046958 216.240289
2026-02-15 2.918813 5.702735 11.093721 22.599859 47.379676 100.144931 226.279384
2026-02-22 2.876712 5.722399 11.340219 23.582815 50.556260 109.403173 253.907249
2026-03-01 2.770703 5.603678 11.296865 23.945244 52.408068 115.921287 275.842010
2026-03-08 2.631568 5.405564 11.074036 23.897672 53.334737 120.434767 293.439064
2026-03-15 2.486467 5.183798 10.784236 23.675653 53.838674 124.014771 309.131716